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Indicators are mathematical perspectives
that are applied to a currency pair’s chart.
Different indicators have been created through
the years by mathematicians and analytical
investors, and are designed to illustrate
different aspects of the currency pair’s
movement.
They calculate important variables related to
the graph, for example, all high prices for the
last nine days, or buying pressure versus
selling pressure—and then apply them to the
graph, to give traders some idea of what’s
going on in the market.
For example, some indicators show if a trend
is weakening and preparing to reverse, which
helps you time the closing of any active
trades. Some can also show whether a currency
pair has been overbought or oversold, and when
to enter the market to capitalize on that fact.
Others can give hints when a big breakout from
a price channel might be coming.
Indicators are categorized in several
different ways. Because some indicators show
where the price has been, while others show
where the price might be going, these are
sometimes referred to as lagging and leading
indicators.
Some indicators measure price, others
momentum. (When momentum changes, so might the
direction of the trend.)
Different indicators are useful in different
market situations. Some work well in trending
markets, others in range-bound or momentum
markets.
Many indicators are oscillators, which work
on the statistical principle of regression to a
mean. Put simply, in any given sample of
numbers, many of the members of the group
should be numerically close to the mean of the
group. If the price (which is what this sample
is usually based upon) strays beyond that
point, then it should revert back toward that
mean.
Oscillators aren’t splashed across the chart
itself, but displayed in a band along the
bottom of the chart, because they’re based on a
different set of numbers than the chart
itself.
Other indicators are moving
averages, which find the average of a
currency pair’s price over a given number of
days then plot that line atop the chart. Moving
averages smooth out fluctuations, making
intermediate- and short-term trends easier to
spot. Some moving averages give more weight to
recent prices than distant ones; these are
called exponential moving averages (EMA).
A third variety of indicator is the
price envelope, which is
actually two moving averages, one above the
price and the other below the price, graphed
atop the chart. Price envelopes are similar to
the lines drawn on a chart, connecting support
and resistance points (as discussed in the
article on technical analysis and chart
interpretation), in that they help to identify
trends and define the limits of a price
channel. The price bounces from the top of the
price envelope to the bottom, indicating where
to buy and sell.
There are hundreds of different indicators
out there, practically one for every broker,
and forex software packages for traders that
allow you to create your own. But when using
indicators, generally less is better.
Too much information can lead to “analysis
paralysis” and cause confusion rather than
clarity. Practice trading with one or two
indicators of different sorts and get to know
them well, and study what they say about your
favorite currency pairs.
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