For 80% of the time, currency pairs in the Forex market are
range-bound or trending: moving sideways, or angling up or
down, within a price channel. For trading in such a market, use
the scalping technique with the RSI. These short trades, often
only a few hours in duration, keep the pips coming while you
wait for a bigger move.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a
popular oscillator. It’s a lagging indicator, measuring the
past momentum of a currency pair’s price by comparing upward
price pressure (green candles.
If you use candlestick charts) against downward price
pressure (red candles) over a defined period of time.
This is usually 14 days, the default setting in most
software packages, but experiment to see what works best for
you.
Like most oscillators, RSI is displayed as a squiggly line
within a window beneath the chart itself. It varies up and down
on a scale of 1 to 100, like a percentage, so it’s easy to
understand.
The Technique RSI is good for
range-bound markets. When the RSI climbs above the 70 line,
that indicates the currency pair is overbought and that the
people who purchased should be ready to sell it, thereby
lowering the price; when it drops below 30, it’s been oversold.
When the RSI crosses back over that point a second time, that’s
the signal to enter the market.
For example, let’s say the GBP/USD is range-bound and
dropping toward its support level. Below the chart, the RSI
indicator follows it down and drops below 30. That warns you
the currency pair has been oversold, and that people should be
ready to purchase it, which means the increased buying pressure
will cause the price to rise.
If you purchased the GBP/USD at that point, because other
traders watching the RSI might not yet have caught on, the
price might still be falling. You could be stopped out, losing
pips.
But when the RSI changes direction and rises back above the
30, that’s the time to enter the market long. Place your stop
below the price support level so that market jitters won’t
trigger it accidentally, then sit back and count the pips as
the price climbs back to its resistance point.
When the price reaches that point, close your trade. Then
watch the RSI to see if it climbs above 70, when you can
reverse the procedure.
This sort of range trading is a form of scalping. It doesn’t
earn many pips at a time. But they add up, and if the signals
are strong enough to justify the risk, you could always
purchase more than one lot, compounding your pips as if they
were interest.
Another way of reading the RSI is called divergence. That’s
when the price on the chart reaches a new high or low, but the
RSI doesn’t follow suit. It can be a powerful tool, too,
because usually the price will change direction to follow the
RSI rather than the other way around, and you can scalp more
pips when the price moves to catch up.
Cautionary Note
There is a risk of substantial loss in Forex Trading. Past trading results are
not indicative of future results.
Ensure that you enroll into a forex trading course
or at least make use of a forex mentor before you attempt "live" trading!